The S&P 500 Index closed out June up 4.3% for the month and 14.48% for the first half of the year.1 Perhaps more impressive was the lack of any material drawdowns in the market in June. Fixed-income markets were strong as well, with investment-grade corporates capping off its 35th straight week of inflows and Treasuries had its eighth week of inflows.2 Year-to-date fixed income is trailing the strong equity market returns, but high yield is up 2.87%.3 The Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Bond Index is down 0.49% year-to-date.4
This holiday-shortened week is relatively busy, and investors will look for more signs of growth concerns. S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index will be released today.5 Tomorrow’s lineup includes Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaking and the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for May.6 Wednesday is expected to bring the Federal Open Market Committee minutes.7 The U.S. jobs report is slated for Friday morning on what will likely be thin trading following the bank holiday in the U.S. on Thursday.8
We hope everyone has a great week and a safe and happy Fourth of July!
Sources:
1,3-4Bloomberg
2J.P. Morgan; 6/30/24
5-8MarketWatch – U.S. Economic Calendar; as of 7/1/24
< Go to Monday Morning Perspectives
This blog post is for informational use only. The views expressed are those of the author(s), and do not necessarily reflect the views of Penn Mutual Asset Management. This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and it is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.
Any statements about financial and company performance of The Penn Mutual Life Insurance Company or its insurance subsidiaries (each, “Client”) made by the author is provided with a written consent from the Client. Penn Mutual Asset Management is a wholly owned subsidiary of The Penn Mutual Life Insurance Company.
Opinions and statements of financial market trends that are based on current market conditions constitute judgment of the author and are subject to change without notice. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from sources deemed to be reliable but should not be assumed to be accurate or complete. Statements that reflect projections or expectations of future financial or economic performance of the markets may be considered forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ significantly. Any forecasts contained in this material are based on various estimates and assumptions, and there can be no assurance that such estimates or assumptions will prove accurate.
Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All information referenced in preparation of this material has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. There is no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information and Penn Mutual Asset Management shall have no liability for decisions based upon such information.
High-Yield bonds are subject to greater fluctuations in value and risk of loss of income and principal. Investing in higher yielding, lower rated corporate bonds have a greater risk of price fluctuations and loss of principal and income than U.S. Treasury bonds and bills. Government securities offer a higher degree of safety and are guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest if held to maturity.
All trademarks are the property of their respective owners. This material may not be reproduced in whole or in part in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission.