Due to concerns in Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) underwriting, rating agencies are requiring increased levels of subordination for junior-rated AAA securities. Citing increasing leverage, lack of amortization, and a higher probability of default, Moody's has required higher enhancement levels for AAA-rated bonds. As a result, Moody's has been excluded from all subordinate conduit bonds since the second quarter of 2015, leaving Fitch as the only major rating agency of fixed rate conduit transactions.
Many traditional investors, such as money managers and insurance companies, cannot invest in CMBS unless it is rated by one of the three major bond raters (Moody's, Fitch and Standard & Poor's). As a result, other investor types, such as hedge funds, have been left to fill the void.
In the chart above, JP Morgan depicts spread levels across ratings for CMBS transactions with and without a major bond rater. Some tiering can be noted, suggesting investors have required additional compensation for lacking a major rating agency. Deals without a major rating agency typically have lower credit enhancement. In addition, collateral characteristics can vary from one deal to the next and should be carefully evaluated.
Key Takeaway: While some major rating agencies have been noticeably absent from subordinate conduit bonds, investors have an obligation to do their credit homework. Regardless of the rating agency, investors should be diligent in their credit analysis. For those investors who are not ratings-sensitive, opportunities may exist to pick up additional yield. For buy and hold investors, the incremental yield pickup may be appropriate for higher-rated subordinate tranches.
The material provided here is for informational use only. The views expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Penn Mutual Asset Management.
This material is for informational use only. The views expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Penn Mutual Asset Management. This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and it is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.
Opinions and statements of financial market trends that are based on current market conditions constitute judgment of the author and are subject to change without notice. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from sources deemed to be reliable but should not be assumed to be accurate or complete. Statements that reflect projections or expectations of future financial or economic performance of the markets may be considered forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ significantly. Any forecasts contained in this material are based on various estimates and assumptions, and there can be no assurance that such estimates or assumptions will prove accurate.
Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All information referenced in preparation of this material has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. There is no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information and Penn Mutual Asset Management shall have no liability for decisions based upon such information.
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